Glycolic Acid Itchy Rash

How meaningful is a hessen-wide survey with about 80 people?

Around the now failed "experiment" of a red-green minority government in Hesse linksgeduldeten I noticed a study , the TNS Emnid carried out on behalf of N24. Among other things, this survey has probably appointed Carmen Everts. The platform http://www.wortbruch.info/ "(in the way you can only vote * for * this initiative and the is described as CDU close ) has a display designed, which relates (this time explicitly) in this study. One can say that it is an influential study. But how meaningful this study?


first Question is not clear

"The mood among the voters is clear: 70 percent of Germans oppose the plan by Andrea Ypsilanti to be elected with the votes of the Left to the Prime Minister. Also, 68 percent of the Hessian voters see this as a deception, because Ypsilanti has ruled out pre-election cooperation with the Left Party at all times. "

was the question of whether one rejects the plan, or whether one is a TAE Subtlety does?


second Sample size

It is stated that about 1,000 people were interviewed - that is probably a common figure for Germany-wide representative surveys. But the above-mentioned second value, "68 percent" refers to the Hessian voters. To the number of Hessian voters there are in the press release of n24 not available - email request to me was twice responded that this study will be published to any other information that is not, as the proportion of respondents Hessian.

more luck I had with my demand for TNS Emnid. There I was given information by phone that a representative Survey about 80 persons from Hessen were interviewed.


third Conclusion

When you consider how influential, this study is made as to its policy, arguing as it is with (namely that there is a silent majority of 68 percent , against Andrea Ypsilanti plans is), then I personally find a sample size of about 80 people for all of Hesse far too little and therefore the study (combined with the fact that the question raised is not clear) is not very meaningful.

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Update: A press release
is yes, then only makes sense when the press jumps on it too, this is done, eg: Wiesbaden
Tagblatt , faz.net , Allgemeine Zeitung Mainz , Tagesspiegel and Focus online.